Alguien escribió:How feasible is Elon Musk's idea to establish a colony on Mars in the 2020s?
Philip Metzger
I manage a NASA lab that develops tech for "living off the land" on the Moon or Mars or asteroids. That includes mining and processing local resources like water ice or oxygen extracted from soil minerals. Elon has sent his people to visit my lab several times to start up a collaboration with us on these technologies. I believe it is completely feasible. No miracle inventions are required. No new physics. Just straightforward engineering and a modest budget for the development cost. My personal opinion (not representing the views of NASA or the federal government) is that I am optimistic. His organization has demonstrated efficiency, creativity, and sustained drive. He has super smart people working for him. He knows what is required to be successful. He is doing all the right things.
Space travel is becoming much easier and much more affordable as technology gets better. E.g., advanced manufacturing, computer aided design, computer simulation of the physics, a deeper and broader industrial base to provide advanced materials and a broad consumer market for technology to offset development costs. People think because it was hard to do these things 40 years ago it is still just as hard today. Obviously that is false. I don't see any reason to doubt that he will be successful.
Hay algunas respuestas negativas, pero en general gente que conoce a Musk dicen que va totalmente en serio, que si logran abaratar el coste de poner material en órbita sería factible.